Scenario Planning

What is scenario planning?

Scenario planning is to be better prepared as an organization for environmental changes in future by developing several different future scenarios. Scenarios are not forecasts or backcasts. Scenario planning is based on the notion that future is not predictable. 2 – 4 plausible scenarios are developed, and then risks and opportunities, which are derived from possible changes in future business environment, are considered based on the set of scenarios through “what-if” thinking process. Scenario planning forces team members to extend views to the world.

Should all companies or organizations introduce scenario planning? Is scenario planning suitable to us?

It is sometimes an uncomfortable process to explore unfamiliar different futures. Some organizations do not fit to the scenario thinking. Thus, we do not agree that all companies should introduce scenario planning. However, through such uncomfortable scenario-development process, which is from analyzing current environment to facing uncertainties towards future, some customers were truly satisfied at the end of the workshops. How about give it a try?

I am interested in scenario planning; however, the website information is limited. I would like to know more about scenario planning in detail to consider.

We can provide a seminar about scenario planning (about for 1.5 hours). Please apply for it from the inquiry form.

Consulting

I am interested in scenario planning; however, I do not know how to proceed. Can I ask a consultation?

We can provide a brief advice for free on how to proceed on a scenario project. Please contact us from the inquiry form.

Deliverables

Can we ask you to develop scenarios?

We support clients’ scenario development by using our expertise on scenario planning, but we will not develop scenarios on behalf of clients. Scenario development is basically clients’ responsibility. That is because, if we develop scenarios by ourselves, clients miss opportunities to think about future by themselves through the scenario development process. We design scenario workshops, which are the core activity in the scenario development process, and facilitate them. During the workshops, scenario frameworks are developed though discussion among workshop attendees. A workshop report is also written by us. Design-Facilitation-Report is our standard services. If requested, we can also support scenario development in detail from the scenario framework by clients.

Others

Can we hold scenario workshops online?

We basically recommend face-to-face workshops. But we can hold them online with Zoom and/or Miro etc., if necessary.

We want to finish our scenario project shorter than the standard 3 – 6 months. Can we finish in about a month?

It is difficult to conclude a full scenario study for a month, because scenario development requires researches. But we can customize our service based on clients’ needs and make it shorter for example by limiting study scope. Please let us know your needs.

We want to finish scenario training shorter than the standard 2 – 6 months. Can we have a one-day training?

It is difficult to acquire know-how of scenario planning in a day. But we can provide a lite version of our scenario training, which focuses on experience of scenario thinking. Please let us know your needs.

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